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Independent information. Not affiliated with Johnson & Johnson or Janssen. We are not a clinic and do not provide treatment.

Does Spravato work? What the trials found

Trial results are facts about groups of participants, not predictions about you. Here is what the studies measured, what they found, what they compared against, and what they cannot tell you.

Last reviewed against the FDA label and SPRAVATO REMS programme materials on .

The short answer

In the pivotal trials, esketamine added to a newly started oral antidepressant produced greater improvement in depression scores than the newly started antidepressant alone — and the difference, while statistically significant, was modest in size.

The most important number on this page is the one usually left out. In TRANSFORM-2, the four-week trial in adults under 65 with treatment-resistant depression, 69% of participants on esketamine responded, and so did 52% of those on placebo — because everyone in both arms was also started on a new oral antidepressant. The esketamine effect is the difference between those, not the 69%.

None of these figures are your odds. They describe what happened to selected groups of trial participants over bounded periods. What happens for any individual is genuinely not predictable from them.

What the trials measured

Nearly all the efficacy data comes from three studies. Knowing what each one actually asked matters more than any single percentage.

TRANSFORM-2 — the four-week efficacy trial

Adults aged 18 to under 65 with treatment-resistant depression. Everyone was started on a new oral antidepressant; participants were randomised to add either esketamine nasal spray or a placebo spray. Four weeks.

Primary endpoint, from the FDA label: change in MADRS depression score at week 4. The esketamine group improved by 4.0 points more than placebo (95% confidence interval: 0.6 to 7.3). MADRS runs 0 to 60. A four-point difference is real and it is statistically significant; it is also, on its own, a moderate effect.

Response and remission at day 28, from the FDA's own medical review: response 69% on esketamine versus 52% on placebo; remission 53% versus 31% (analysis set n=101 and n=100).

Note what "placebo" means here. It does not mean untreated. Both arms began a new oral antidepressant, which is why over half the placebo group responded. Any page quoting "69% response" without that comparator is telling you something misleading.

One more honesty note: ClinicalTrials.gov reports different figures for the same trial — 63.4% versus 49.5% for response, 48.2% versus 30.3% for remission — on a larger analysis set. Both are correct for their respective analysis sets. We quote the FDA review's figures and name the set rather than picking whichever pair looks better.

SUSTAIN-1 — the relapse-prevention trial

A different question: among people who had already responded, does continuing esketamine delay relapse? Published in JAMA Psychiatry in 2019.

Among stable remitters, 26.7% relapsed on continued esketamine versus 45.3% on the oral antidepressant alone (hazard ratio 0.49; 95% CI 0.29–0.84). Among stable responders, 25.8% versus 57.6% (hazard ratio 0.30; 95% CI 0.16–0.55).

This is the most encouraging dataset for the drug, and it deserves a caveat: it only describes people who had already responded. It says nothing about whether you will be one of them.

The monotherapy trial

The 2025 study supporting the monotherapy approval, published in JAMA Psychiatry. Esketamine alone versus placebo, no oral antidepressant in either arm.

Primary endpoint, from the FDA label: MADRS change at day 28. 56 mg improved by 5.1 points more than placebo (95% CI 2.3 to 7.9); 84 mg by 6.8 points more (95% CI 4.1 to 9.5). Participants: 86, 95, and 197 respectively.

We are not publishing response or remission percentages for this trial. The sources we could reach disagree, because they use different thresholds for remission — and quoting a remission rate without knowing which definition produced it would be exactly the kind of borrowed-number error this site exists to avoid. The MADRS changes above are from the label and are solid.

Response and remission are not the same thing

These two words get used interchangeably in marketing copy and mean quite different things clinically.

Response conventionally means at least a 50% reduction in depression score from where you started. If you began severely depressed, a 50% improvement can still leave you meaningfully depressed. Response is real improvement; it is not recovery.

Remission means your score has dropped below a threshold taken to indicate minimal symptoms. It is a higher bar, and it is closer to what most people mean when they ask whether something "worked".

Notice that remission rates in these trials are consistently lower than response rates — 53% versus 69% in TRANSFORM-2. When a page quotes a single impressive percentage without saying which of these it is, it is usually the response figure.

There is also a definitional wrinkle worth knowing: different studies set the remission threshold at different MADRS scores. That is precisely why we are not quoting remission percentages from the monotherapy trial — a rate is meaningless without the definition attached.

What these trials cannot tell you

Every limitation below is a reason to hold the numbers above loosely.

Trial populations are selected. Participants met specific entry criteria, and people with significant medical comorbidities, substance use disorders, or certain psychiatric conditions were typically excluded. If that describes you, the trial population was not people like you.

Follow-up is bounded. TRANSFORM-2 ran four weeks. Depression is measured in years. A four-week result is not a statement about where you will be in two years.

The comparator was not "nothing". Both arms of TRANSFORM-2 started a new oral antidepressant. The trials measure what esketamine adds, not what it does from a standing start.

Group averages hide individual variation. A 4-point average difference is compatible with some participants improving dramatically and others not at all. The average describes the group; nobody experiences the average.

These trials do not compare Spravato to the alternatives. Nothing here tells you whether Spravato would work better for you than ECT, TMS, another medication, a different combination, or psychotherapy. Those comparisons largely have not been done head to head, and we will not manufacture them.

Nobody can tell you your odds. Not this site, and not your prescriber — though your prescriber can at least weigh your specific history, which we cannot.

If it does not work

If you are reading a page about success rates after failing several medications already, you have probably had this experience: something was presented as promising, you allowed yourself to hope, and it did not work. It would be dishonest to end this page without acknowledging that Spravato is sometimes that too.

Some things that are true and are not consolation prizes.

Not responding to Spravato is not a verdict on you. Treatment response in depression is poorly predicted by anything currently measurable. A medication not working is information about the medication in your particular biology, not evidence about your character or your prospects.

It is not the last option. ECT has the strongest efficacy evidence of any treatment for severe treatment-resistant depression and remains substantially under-used, partly because of a public reputation that is decades out of date. TMS, medication strategies not yet tried, augmentation approaches, and structured psychotherapy alongside medication are all real avenues. There are also treatments in trials that were not available a few years ago.

The four-week assessment point is a decision point, not a deadline. If response is partial, dose and schedule adjustments are a normal part of the process rather than a sign of failure.

Say it plainly to your prescriber. "This isn't working and I'm running out of hope" is clinically important information, not a complaint. It is also worth saying before things get worse rather than after.

And if you are in a bad place right now: call or text 988. It is not only for people who are actively suicidal — it is for anyone in distress, including someone worn down by a treatment that did not work.

Common questions

What is the success rate of Spravato?
There is no single figure, and any page giving you one without a comparator is misleading you. In TRANSFORM-2, 69% of participants on esketamine plus a newly started oral antidepressant responded at day 28, compared with 52% on placebo plus a newly started oral antidepressant. Remission was 53% versus 31%. Those are group results from a four-week trial in a selected population — they are not your personal odds.
Why do different sites quote different percentages for the same trial?
Usually because they are quoting different analysis sets or different definitions. For TRANSFORM-2, the FDA medical review reports 69% versus 52% response on one analysis set while ClinicalTrials.gov reports 63.4% versus 49.5% on a larger one. Both are accurate for what they describe. Remission figures vary further because studies set the threshold at different scores.
How long before you know whether it is working?
The pivotal trials assessed response at four weeks of twice-weekly dosing, and that is generally when prescribers reassess. Some people notice changes earlier and some later. Your prescriber is the one who can interpret what is happening in your case.
Is Spravato more effective than ECT or TMS?
We cannot tell you that, because the head-to-head trials that would answer it largely have not been done. Each has a different evidence base, a different risk profile, and different practical demands. Comparing them for your situation is a conversation for your prescriber, and anyone claiming a clear winner is going beyond the evidence.
Does it keep working over time?
SUSTAIN-1 addressed this for people who had already responded: among stable remitters, 26.7% relapsed on continued esketamine versus 45.3% on the oral antidepressant alone. That is meaningful evidence for continued treatment in responders. It does not speak to people who did not respond initially, and the follow-up periods in these trials are still short relative to how long depression lasts.

Sources

  1. SPRAVATO (esketamine) prescribing information (revised 04/2025) (opens in a new tab)US Food and Drug Administration
  2. FDA medical review, NDA 211243 (TRANSFORM-2 response and remission rates) (opens in a new tab)US Food and Drug Administration
  3. Daly et al., Efficacy of esketamine nasal spray plus oral antidepressant treatment for relapse prevention (SUSTAIN-1), JAMA Psychiatry 2019 (opens in a new tab)JAMA Psychiatry (peer-reviewed)
  4. Janik et al., Esketamine nasal spray monotherapy in treatment-resistant depression, JAMA Psychiatry 2025;82(9):877-887 (opens in a new tab)JAMA Psychiatry (peer-reviewed)
  5. FDA approval letter, NDA 211243/S-016 (monotherapy indication, 17 January 2025) (opens in a new tab)US Food and Drug Administration
  6. 988 Suicide & Crisis Lifeline (opens in a new tab)988 Suicide & Crisis Lifeline

Last reviewed against the FDA label and SPRAVATO REMS programme materials on .

Spravato Success Rate: What the Trials Actually Found